Forecast of Fuel Prices in 2021

 - Picture: Skitterphoto

Photo: Skitterphoto

The cost of gas is relying on numerous factors making predictions difficult. But there are particular factors which are in play today, makes it possible for us to extrapolate and extend those trend lines into the next calendar-year and interpret feasible outcomes.

Candib -


“With need still significantly less than historical averages and continued supply to carry through to 2021, costs continues to stay relatively flat through the entire sleep of 2020 and into 2021,” stated Emily Candib, manager – fleet services and products for Merchants Fleet. “Traditional demand likely to grab in May-June and raise costs and stress on refineries to keep rate.”

The price tag on gas is very much impacted by supply-and-demand dynamics, that are forecast to improve in CY-2021.

Dudeck -


“We anticipate there will be a gradual rise in fuel expense in 2021 as need increases and production materials are paid off on brand new normal demands,” said Justin Dudeck, item manager, analytics, consulting and transformation for LeasePlan United States Of America.

However, whole portions of this macro-economy continue being hobbled, in particular the aviation and car rental companies, this reduced usage will put downward stress on crude oil costs.

Wood -


“We expect oil markets to keep volatile considering slow financial data recovery. We’re nevertheless seeing constraints in travel from customers and lots of businesses are maintaining workers remote. It’s generated a low demand in fuel and can continue in the event that pandemic worsens this cold temperatures,” stated Lindsay Wood, item supervisor for Wheels.

Another reasons why it is hard to forecast fuel expenses is basically because prices dynamics in many cases are dictated at a much larger geopolitical level.

Atchley -


“Geopolitical tensions are low; but that may alter quickly and negatively effect gas supply and demand,” said Mark Atchley, senior supply chain manager for Enterprise Fleet Management. “The Organization associated with Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) will likely carry on tries to sharply increase fuel prices through manufacturing cuts. However, we expect fuel costs to carry on experiencing modest growth in 2021 and stay below 2018 and 2019 amounts.”

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